Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But no-one is immune from buying too high. Zooming in on an example, the Anika Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:ANIK) share price dropped 56% in the last half decade. That’s not a lot of fun for true believers. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 51% in the last year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 34% in the last three months. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 14% in the same timeframe.
So let’s have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business’ progress.
Because Anika Therapeutics made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That’s because it’s hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
In the last half decade, Anika Therapeutics saw its revenue increase by 6.9% per year. That’s a pretty good rate for a long time period. The share price return isn’t so respectable with an annual loss of 9% over the period. That suggests the market is disappointed with the current growth rate. A pessimistic market can create opportunities.
The company’s revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
It’s probably worth noting we’ve seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Anika Therapeutics
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that Anika Therapeutics shareholders are down 51% for the year. Unfortunately, that’s worse than the broader market decline of 10%. Having said that, it’s inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year’s performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 9% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we’ve identified 1 warning sign for Anika Therapeutics that you should be aware of.
There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.